Probability and statistics affect every aspect of our lives. After all, statistics is simply taking the probability of any ...

The long-term peak in forward rates for U.S. Treasury exceeds the near-term peak, indicating a step toward normal yields. The streak of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads has reached 292 trading ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Clay Halton was a Business Editor at Investopedia and has been working in the finance publishing field for more than five years. He also writes and edits personal finance content, with a focus on ...

In the middle of our semi-daily panics about Europe, someone decided to throw in an earnings season. When I think of it, I try to tweet out higher-profile earnings estimates. That is, estimates of the ...

In A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities, published in 1814, Pierre-Simon Laplace introduced a notorious hypothetical creature: a “vast intelligence” that knew the complete physical state of the ...